Jonathan Schanzer
Jonathan Schanzer
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Pundicity: Informed Opinion and Review
 

Latest Articles

Slam Dunk II: The Persian Version

July 23, 2015  •  The Daily Beast

"With this deal, we cut off every single one of Iran's pathways to...a nuclear weapons program," said President Barack Obama. It "shuts down every path that Iran has to a nuclear weapon," echoed the president's press secretary, Josh Earnest. "This deal breaks each and every pathway to a weaponized nuclear device, including any potential covert effort," chimed in Senator Martin Heinrich (D-NM).

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It Just Got Easier for Iran to Fund Terrorism

July 17, 2015  •  Foreign Policy

Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, did not enter into Tuesday's historic deal with six world powers to reset relations with the West. It was the promise of more than $100 billion in sanctions relief, rather, that greased the wheels of the recently completed diplomacy in Vienna. And though the windfall of cash will certainly strengthen its position, the real prize for Iran was regaining access to a little-known, but ubiquitous banking system that has been off-limits to the country since March 2012.

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Should America and Israel Let Their Enemies Kill Each Other Off?

July 7, 2015  •  Politico Magazine

As some see it, what's happening now in the Mideast provides the best excuse the Israelis have had in a long time to just sit back and let their worst enemies rub each other out. Senior Israeli officials now view Hamas, the terror group that lobbed thousands of rockets at Israel last summer, as a potential bulwark against supporters of the Islamic State (Daesh in Arabic) in the Gaza Strip. This was the gist of a June 19 opinion piece by Efraim Halevi, former director of Israel's Mossad intelligence agency, in the popular daily Yediot Ahronot. Reports suggest that Israel is now even mulling a truce with Hamas, with one intended consequence being that the group would devote its energies to defeating Daesh.

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The Saudi Military is Mobilizing. What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

June 5, 2015  •  Huffington Post

The Saudis "will definitely be defeated," crows one Iranian general. Riyadh "will pay a heavy price" for its war against the Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen, a senior Hezbollah figure predicts. The war in Yemen will end in a stalemate, warns a Brookings Institution expert. The war in Yemen will be "Saudi's Vietnam," a Carnegie think tanker warns.

Those who doubt the wisdom of Saudi Arabia's decision to launch a bombing campaign against Iranian proxies in March of this year are ubiquitous. Except in Saudi Arabia, that is.

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Ankara Alone: Turkey's Disastrous Foreign Policy

June 3, 2015  •  Weekly Standard

Too Islamist-friendly for NATO, too pro-European for Russia, too pro-Sunni for Iran, and too pro-democracy for Saudi Arabia, Turkey can't seem to manage lasting alliances. It's an issue that figures to play a role in the Turkish parliamentary elections on June 7.

In August 2013, then-prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan's chief adviser described Turkey's isolation – to the ire of Turkish pundits – as "precious loneliness." To this day, Turkey's ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) continues to ascribe its foreign policy failure to international resentment for Turkey's successes.

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Books by Jonathan Schanzer

Cover of State of Failure Cover of Facebook Fatwa Cover of Palestinian Pulse Cover of Hamas vs. Fatah Cover of Al-Qaeda's Armies

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